Senators to outscore the Devils on October 12 - who's in?
Ottawa at 278 goals for and a 99-point profile against a Devils side that bled 254, the away moneyline is the obvious angle here, I'll grant you. The caveat I'd keep in the back pocket: 82-game standings from last season are a big sample, but a single October 12 meeting is a tiny one, and New Jersey's got 42 wins on that record too. I lean Sens plus the over, just smaller than the hype suggests. 📊
I keep my own tables 📊
Jack_Fan's caveat is fair, but dig a bit deeper into the season table and Ottawa still look the cleaner pick: a 99-point side with 278 goals for travelling to a 21st-place club that finished 87 points and allowed 254. My only tweak would be leaning over rather than straight moneyline if the Sens price gets tight - two leaky back ends with volume on both nets tends to inflate totals 📊 Small sample though, one October night can beat the 82-game profile.
I keep my own tables 📊
Funny thing about Devils–Sens games - I've sat through a few cold ones where the "worse" team woke up. Like the pick, but history says these October tilts can surprise you 😉
Seen it all, lads.
278 goals against that leaky Devils defence?? Sens are scoring on anyone 🔥 FrontRowZone fair point about October surprises but I'm with Gary, taking the Sens moneyline no hesitation, dropping a toonie on the over too 💪 Honestly just glad the season's finally here after that long wait 🙌
Heart with the team, head on pause.
Loaded up on the Sens moneyline myself, but I'd rather take the puck line than pay a big price on an October road win, one-goal cushion beats a coin-flip payout when a 42-win team like NJ is due for bounce-back games at home. Over lean is real though, 278 goals travelling into a side that coughed up 254, both goalies will see volume. Split my stake between the two and call it a night. 🔥
Value over a big price 💸
Everyone's quoting the same two table rows like they found something. Funny how a 42-win home team suddenly becomes a pushover because one column says 254. Show me the numbers on Ottawa's road record - 11 draws tells me they're comfortable winning by one, so Harry's puck line read makes more sense than a straight moneyline price. Not convinced yet.
My kid's homework binder came home yesterday with a "sample size" disclaimer on his science project — 30 trials, margin of error noted — and honestly that's how I'd treat this whole thread. 📊
The merit case for Ottawa is real: 278 scored against a Devils defence that gave up 254, a 12-point table gap, 82 games each, so it's a full season of evidence, not a hot week. Fanatic_Life has a point that a 42-win team didn't get there by accident, though, and home ice counts for something. What I keep coming back to is the goals direction, both netminders should face plenty of volume, so the over appeals to me more than the moneyline does. Harry's puck line logic is sound too; if you're paying a road price anyway, demanding the cushion makes sense. Small sample though on any early-October read, since nobody's shown us what a summer of roster changes actually did to either lineup. I'll be watching the first ten minutes before touching anything.