Canadiens host Carolina on October 6
48 wins and sixth overall, I'm taking the Habs moneyline against Carolina Oct 6, and maybe a sprinkle on the puck line if bookmaker posts plus money. Checked who's starting in goal yet? That's my first stop before any bet lands. Stacking the homestand, C$ on Montréal. 💸🔥
The line moves — catch it.
Quick flag before anyone piles in: those 106 points and 48 wins look great, but the goal differential (283-256) tells you the Habs were winning close games, and Carolina will punish sloppy defensive structure at Centre Bell on October 6. I'd take the moneyline over the puck line here, and honestly a small C$ stake only, since we're talking one game from a five-game homestand that also brings Nashville, Detroit, Buffalo and Washington. Depends how you count it, but six points behind the top five is where this team really sits. 📊
I keep my own tables 📊
Quick flag before anyone piles in: those 106 points and 48 wins look great, but the goal differential (283-256) tells you the Habs were winning close games, and Carolina will punish sloppy defensive structure at Centre B…
Jack, close games still count as wins in the table, I've cashed plenty of tickets on teams that win ugly. 48 of them, that's a habit, not luck. And the last time I faded a hot team at home to open a five-game homestand, I paid for it out of cab fare all week. Lesson learned, my C$ is on Montréal 🍺
Value over a big price 💸
Love how Jack's suddenly a defensive-structure scout after whiffing on every playoff pick last spring 😏. "Winning ugly" arguments in October, classic fanboys pile in soon 🤡
Jack's scared of a 283-goal offence, meanwhile I've already got my C$ riding on the Habs Oct 6. Fade me all you want, mate 😏
Show me your ROI first 😏
laughed at TrueFan's cab fare story, been there myself more than once 😄
i'm with the room here, carolina's a proper test but i've had season tickets through enough rebuilds to know what this fanbase sounds like when the bell centre's rocking for an opener. one caveat from an old fella though: back in the day i learned the hard way that october hockey is coin-flip hockey, teams are still finding their legs and goalies are cold. so my c$ goes on montréal, sure, but i'd keep the stake modest and wait for the puck line price rather than chasing the moneyline. watch as long as i have and you'll get it, the first game of a homestand rarely tells you anything about may.😉
Remember when the grass was greener 🌱
Dave's got it right, that opener crowd noise is worth a goal on its own 😂 everyone piling on the Habs bandwagon though, cute. I already fired my C$ on the moneyline through the bookie the second this thread went up - Carolina on the road to start a five-game homestand at Centre Bell? Sure thing, mate. Remind me of your ROI when you're fading, Jack? 😏
Show me your ROI first 😏
Back in my day we called it "the season opener jitters," and half those games went sideways no matter how loud the barn was 😄 But I'll tip my hat to Dave and StandsGuy, Centre Bell for an opener against Carolina is about as good a home edge as you'll find anywhere in the league, and this Habs team earned every one of those 106 points.
That said, I'm the cautious old fool in the room. Fifty years of watching hockey taught me that the second game of a back-to-back or a hot goalie can ruin a lovely story, and Carolina travels well. So my money's smaller than the kids' here, a modest C$ nibble on the moneyline, nothing on the puck line for me. Patience won me more cheques over the years than bravado ever did 😉 Five games at home though? If they take the opener, I might get braver by the time Detroit rolls in on the 10th.
Everyone suddenly a Habs believer the second the standings say sixth place, eh 😂 Kev's right, opener jitters are real, Carolina's no warm-up act, they'll make the Bell Centre deafening real quick. I'll take the Canes moneyline and watch half this thread cash out their Mise-o-jeu slips by the second intermission 💸
i've sat through enough october openers to know the barn noise fades awful quick if carolina strikes first, so glorydays gets a nod from me 😄 still, you don't back your way into 106 points by folding at home, and my real hangup is the goalie question beth raised, that decides whether my c$ goes on the moneyline or stays in my pocket. old habit, but i close the shop early for the home opener, and the 6th will be no different.
Been here longer than some have followed.
Everyone fear-fading Carolina like they're the '76 Habs themselves 😏 I'd rather find out who's in net before my C$ moves. Remind me of your ROI, GloryDays?
Show me your ROI first 😏
badbeat nailed it, you can't luck your way to 48 wins and 106 points, that grind shows up even in october 😉 my one hitch is the same goaltender mystery everyone keeps circling, until that lineup drops my c$ stays pocketed. seen plenty of sold-out bell centres go quiet three shifts deep back in the day, and carolina knows exactly how to hush a crowd fast. i'll wait for the morning skate, patience pays better than hype around here😄
Everyone in this thread acting like the goalie mystery is some unsolvable riddle 😏 whole league rolls lineups out day of, that's the deal. You want my two cents? I'm parlaying that Oct 6 opener with the Nashville game two days later, homestand openers at the Bell are exactly where my C$ eats. Fade me and enjoy the clown makeup, mate 🤡💸
It's a lottery, not sport.
emma's got a point, the whole league drops lineups day of, we've all been spoiled by the app alerts 😄 but i'll add my one wrinkle from years of doing this: an opener after a long road trip is where young teams come out flat, and carolina's forecheck will test that before the crowd even settles in. back in the day i lost a season-ticket night's worth of beer money betting the home opener every october on pure vibes, so now i keep my c$ flat until warmups. still, 48 wins don't grow on trees, and that five-game stretch at the bell is exactly the kind of run where a team like this piles up points. i'd take montreal on the moneyline before touching that nashville parlay, emma, stacking two games is how one funny bounce costs you double. watch as long as i have and you'll get it 😉
Seen it all, lads.
Moneyline for me, small puck line sprinkle only if it's plus money. Parlaying openers is how I torched a C$300 night once, never again. See you all after the final buzzer 🔥💸
Value over a big price 💸