Kings minus 1.5 in Vegas on Oct 11 - who's actually brave enough?
Kings -1.5 in Vegas? That's a fade all day for me, LA's minus goal differential and a 90-point season don't scream "win by two on the road", so my C$ is going Vegas moneyline and I'll only touch the Kings side if the line drifts stupid high. The back-to-back angle is real though, Vegas hits Minnesota and Nashville right after, so if their top line sits shots props lean under and I learned that lesson the hard way last week. 💸
Bankroll discipline wins.
Harry, I'm with you on the fade, but I'd temper the confidence a touch. Last season's table says a lot: Vegas outscored their opposition by 15 goals over 82 games while LA finished at minus-22, and road teams laying 1.5 in October with a new-season roster are historically a coin flip at best. That said, early-season samples are tiny, three or four games tells you almost nothing about whether either club has actually improved, so I won't stack C$ on either side of the puck line until I've seen the Kings against Florida on Oct 7 and how Vegas' top line looks in that Minnesota game on the 13th.
On the props, I'd lean under on Vegas top-line shots and points purely on schedule: they're in Nashville on Oct 14 and home to Calgary on the 16th, so a back-to-back setup could mean minutes get managed. Small sample though, one quiet game from that line in October proves nothing.
Context beats a bare stat.
Harry, I'm with you on the fade, but I'd temper the confidence a touch. Last season's table says a lot: Vegas outscored their opposition by 15 goals over 82 games while LA finished at minus-22, and road teams laying 1.5 …
Agree with the fade mostly, Zoe, but "coin flip at best" is doing a lot of heavy lifting there, LA laying 1.5 on the road against a team that finished 15 goals to the good? Put my usual stake on Vegas moneyline and laugh all the way to the cashier, honestly 😂 Anyone brave enough for Kings -1.5 deserves the L.
The differential gap alone settles it for me. Kings -1.5 in Vegas? I'd need receipts from anyone backing that - my C$ stays on Vegas ML, not convinced otherwise.
Where's the proof?
Everyone keeps quoting last year's table like it priced tonight's game already 🍺 My worry is the schedule spot more than the matchup - Kings show up in Vegas then host Edmonton two nights later, meanwhile Vegas has three road dates queued right after this one. So Vegas ML at whatever bookmaker is charging feels thin to me; I want the puck line down around +1.5 territory on LA instead, small C$, because a tight divisional-style grind lands closer than folks expect. Would've happily paid juice on that last spring.
The line moves — catch it.
Beth finally said something sensible. Schedule spot beats a stale table every time 😏 Kings looking past Vegas toward Edmonton, that's where my C$ quietly sneaks onto the puck line. Sure thing, mate 💸
Show me your ROI first 😏
Schedule spot cuts both ways though, Millie, Vegas rolls out three straight road games after this, so tonight's their last easy one at home for a while, they'll want it banked. I took the Kings -1.5 once in a spot like this and got burned when the home side parked the bus up two, never again at plus money that short. My C$ stays on Vegas ML, small puck line sprinkle if it drifts.
Up one week, down the next. Classic.
Emma's got it right, that goal diff alone kills the Kings -1.5 for me. I lost C$75 last April laying 1.5 with a road favourite who "wanted it more". Lesson learned, roads teams covering minus 1.5 is where bankrolls go to die. Vegas ML plus a small shot on their top line over points props is my whole ticket tonight 💸
Retro, a C$75 lesson from April and suddenly you're a puck line monk 😂 Kings minus 1.5 in Vegas is a bold fade of common sense. My C$ says Vegas top line overs tonight 💸
Backed Vegas ML with a small Kings +1.5 dart on top - 225 goals all season doesn't win by two in T-Mobile, sorry Beth 😭 Over on the top line props makes more sense to me anyway.
Up one week, down the next. Classic.
FaithfulFan dropping a "dart" on Kings +1.5 while also taking Vegas ML, that's hedging dressed up as conviction 😂 And Retro, one C$75 sting in April made you a monk? Wait for the fanboys to pile in when LA can't score past 225 goals worth of form. In reality? Kings minus 1.5 in T-Mobile is a lottery, not sport 🤡💸
Check the goalie assignments before anyone touches this. That's my whole routine. Kings minus 1.5 with a negative differential and 225 goals all year? I've got C$50 max on Vegas ML, maybe a top-line over if the price has value, but laying 1.5 on the road in October is how I torch a bankroll. They've got Edmonton back home Oct 14, that scheduling alone kills the bravery case for me 😭
Value over a big price 💸