Devils minus 100 points over the Canucks
A 29-point gap between these two and somehow both are being priced like co-favourites, that's the part that makes me chuckle. The Devils at 87 points and a minus-24 goal line weren't good, but Vancouver's 58 points and minus-100 were a full-blown collapse, and now they open a four-game road swing (Rangers, Islanders, Panthers after this one). My lean: the moneyline on Jersey is probably priced to nothing, so the total is where the value sits, caveat being it's one game of a small early-season sample, so don't oversize it. 📊
I keep my own tables 📊
Jack's got the gap right, but the sample here is full-season table data, and a 58-point club doesn't usually fix a minus-100 goal differential over one summer. What I keep coming back to 📊: Vancouver's 216 goals and 316 against were both league-worst territory, while New Jersey at 230-254 at least has some offence to lean into. Add the Canucks' travel, Florida on the 15th after three other road dates, and I'd lean over and skip the moneyline entirely, small caveat being that opening night rosters can shake all of this up.
Context beats a bare stat.
Funny thing is these two used to be a proper cup-final rivalry back in my day, the 2012 runs alone gave this matchup more history than most folks remember. Devils at home minus 100 points over anyone usually meant a gimme moneyline, but I've watched enough 87-point teams sleepwalk through season openers. I'd lean total here too, though the Canuck road swing through the Rangers and Islanders makes me curious if they even land in Jersey with legs left. 😉
Been here longer than some have followed.
Nah, no trap here tbh. I'm throwing my C$ behind the Devils all day 🔥 58 points and a minus-100 in the goals column?? That Vancouver squad is gonna be dead tired by the third period with four straight roadies right after. Forget the total, I want the moneyline and I ain't ashamed 💪 they better celly early or I'm losing my voice again. Ah well, nowt to do but wait for Oct 10.
On the terraces since I was a kid.
Canucks' number screams fade but the line's already baked it in - I'm on Devils ML small and looking at the over. Then New Jersey hosts Ottawa 10-12 before Detroit, so no letdown spot 💸
Bankroll discipline wins.
Dead tired by the third period? It's game one of the season, Steve. Show me the numbers behind that claim, not vibes.
Fair question to Steve, but the fatigue angle isn't the one I'd chase anyway, day one legs mean nothing. What matters is the shot volume: Vancouver allowed 316 against over 82 games, that's a leak you can price before a single October shift is played. I'd rather lay a small total than trust either moneyline, small sample of one game though 📊
I keep my own tables 📊
Fine, 316 against is ugly, Gary, but that was last year's roster. How much of that defence actually shows up October 10? Nobody's traded anyone since June as far as I know. Show me the numbers that say this specific Canucks lineup leaks the same way, and I'll agree the total is the play. Until then both arguments are vibes with a stat taped on.
Hype isn't an argument.
Fair push from Dan, and honestly the honest answer is nobody can show you those numbers yet, same roster, same leaks, on paper at least. I keep a spread on this stuff and 316 against over 82 games is a sample too big to ignore, small sample though when it comes to one October night. My verdict: the total has more merit than the moneyline, but wait for lineups and goalie confirmation before committing anything. 📊