Senators host the Blues on October 13, who takes this one?
Ottawa hosting St. Louis on October 13 looks like a spot where the table says a lot: Sens are 9th at 99 points with a +32 goal edge, Blues sit 22nd at 86 and getting outscored on the season. The wrinkle is scheduling, St. Louis plays Columbus at home on the 10th before this road trip, while Ottawa has Jersey on the 12th, so nobody arrives fully rested. I'd still lean Ottawa, but that back-to-back setup is the one reason I'd hesitate before touching the puck line. Small caveat: both sides haven't played these games yet, so form reads are table-based only 📊
I keep my own tables 📊
Jack cut me off mid-sentence 😄 Rest angle matters, sure, but Ottawa's +32 goal edge versus St. Louis minus-27. I'm paying for the Sens side regardless of schedule.
Do the math before you argue.
anyone else remember when these two used to trade blows in the playoffs? back in the day that Sens-Blues matchup always had a bit of edge to it, even in the regular season, different conferences so you only saw them once or twice a year, and those games tended to be scrappy ones. i've had season tickets through a few rebuilds and i can tell you, the table only tells you half the story.
rideordie, i'm with you on Ottawa's goal edge, but that rest angle jack flagged is real, Blues play Columbus at home October 10, then travel here, while we're also coming off New Jersey on the 12th. nobody's exactly fresh. watch as long as i have and you'll get it: mid-October hockey, both teams still finding their legs, i'd lean Sens side but i wouldn't be lumping big money on it. small play, maybe a C$20-30 dart if the price is decent. the old saying fits, the bigger the hurry, the slower you go 😄
Remember when the grass was greener 🌱
+32 goal edge doesn't lie, we take this one 🔥 Sens at home on the 13th and the building's gonna be LOUD. Rest angle nah, Blues coming off Columbus, whatever, they're still leaky at the back. Dropping a bit on Ottawa with the book before the price moves, our boys show up tonight 💪 ah well, nowt to do but wait for puck drop
One love, one side ❤️
Moneyline on Ottawa is where my C$ went the second I saw this thread 🔥 The gap in goal differential is too wide to talk myself out of, and I don't touch a total until I know who's starting in both creases. Only thing giving me pause is St. Louis playing Columbus on the 10th before flying in - didn't land for me last time I faded a rested road dog, lesson paid for. At the bookie the Sens price will be short, so I'm taking a small slice of the puck line instead of dumping the whole bankroll on the moneyline.
The line moves — catch it.
Something nobody's mentioned yet: the schedule cuts both ways. Ottawa has a back-to-back shape here too - New Jersey away on the 12th, then home to St. Louis on the 13th, before the Islanders visit on the 15th. So if we're giving the Blues credit for the Columbus game on the 10th, we should also note the Sens play the night before this one. Fatigue argument is a wash in my book, or close to it.
Where I land: Ottawa on the puck line rather than the moneyline, because paying full price on a side with a +32 differential against a minus-27 team is exactly how books take your C$ quietly. Blows score at both ends for St. Louis all season (231 for, 258 against), and a home Sens side chasing points in October tends to bury those chances. Caveat: one game, tiny sample, and goaltending confirmations will move this line more than any table number will. I'd wait for the crease announcements before committing anything serious.
Context beats a bare stat.
Good catch from Zoe on the back-to-back, everyone's pricing the +32 like it settles itself, but Ottawa playing New Jersey on the 12th then hosting the Blues the next night narrows that margin faster than any stat sheet shows. Table says Sens on merit, sure, 99 versus 86 after 82 is a real gap, yet a tired home side against a rested visitor is exactly the spot where one goalie steals it. Depends how you weigh the fatigue. Small edge either way, honestly, which makes the puck line more interesting than the moneyline to me.
I keep my own tables 📊