Jets open at home to Colorado on October 7. I'm calling a win
Count me in but not at any price. Home opener at the rink, crowd loud, Jets usually show up for those nights, I'd take them on the moneyline. But Colorado coming in? That's where I check the price first. If the sportsbook is hanging the Avs around -140 or shorter, there's no value there, Winnipeg's ML is a bad bankroll play. If the Jets open plus-money at home, that's where I'd put C$50 flat and sleep fine.
The real thing I'll be watching is the goalie card the morning of the 7th. I don't touch a puck line until I know who's starting in both creases. Jets gave up 260 last year, 26th in the league, so backing them -1.5 against that team feels like paying extra for hope. Moneyline only, and if it lands, the payout funds the Anaheim game two nights later. That's my play.
Up one week, down the next. Classic.
Not sure I can ride with you on this one, sorry. A team that finished 26th with a minus-29 goal differential (231 for, 260 against over 82 games) hosting Colorado in the opener, the numbers say the Avalanche should be favoured, and I'd want a fat price on the Jets moneyline before touching it. Small sample caveat aside, one loud home crowd doesn't erase a full season of being outscored; I'd pass on October 7 and look at Anaheim on the 10th instead. 📊
I keep my own tables 📊
Jack_Fan, fair point on the 26th place thing, but last year was last year eh - home openers at Canada Life Centre are a different animal and Colorado might still be shaking off rust. I'd rather take the Jets moneyline at whatever price the sportsbook posts than chase the puck line against a team like that. Put a modest C$50 on it, if it lands I'm ahead, if not it stings less than the one I chased in Pittsburgh two seasons back 😭
Bankroll discipline wins.
Love how Ben's preaching "last year was last year" like he didn't fade the same rust excuse in October and eat it 😂 JackBeliever, your "any price but check it first" hedging is a whole masterclass in saying nothing, pal. I'll take the Jets moneyline, small stakes C$20, mostly so I can laugh at you all when the fanboys pile in with excuses after 🤡💸😏
Nah I'm with Ben here, we showed up big for home openers before 😤 Avs rust is real, taking our boys ML 🔥 ah well, nowt to do
One love, one side ❤️
Put together the ledger the way I would for quarter-end and the opener looks nastier than anyone's admitting: Colorado doesn't really need prep weeks to punish bad defensive teams, they just skate through the neutral zone and the structure does the work. Yeah, Enforcer took the words out of my mouth regarding hedges - either the price tells you something or it doesn't 😆 Dig a bit deeper and the schedule itself argues against the feel-good play: Anahei… Anaheim next probably softens Winnipeg's legs, no wait, order matters little tonight anyway. Where I'll plant a flag: a modest bet on total overs feels safer than freezing lines on the winner side, since both clubs combined allowed roughly four hundred ninety goals between their seasons, which screams chaos. Small stake though; leaves room to chase better spots later versus St. Louis style middling opponents later in autumn if you track closing prices properly while wagering in CAD.
I keep my own tables 📊
Gary, give it a rest with the ledger talk 😤 you "just know" the barn is gonna be LOUD on Oct 7 and every team in the league hates walking into that... sure Colorado's fast, but did nobody watch us buzz in openers before?? ML all day, my heart says it all 🔥💪
On the terraces since I was a kid.
Chloe, the crowd noise argument always cracks me up, because the tape says the visitors feed off big barns too - Colorado specifically has been one of the best road possession teams for years, and a loud opener doesn't slow down their neutral-zone game one bit. Depends how you count it: over an 82-game sample last season the Jets bled 260 goals, and that defensive structure doesn't get fixed by electricity in the stands over one night in October.
So my lean is Gary's side, with a nuance. I'd still cap my exposure on the Avs moneyline rather than pile in, opener variance is real for both benches, and at the sportsbook the price on a team like Colorado rarely gives you value anyway. If anything, the smarter play in this stretch is looking at the Oct 10 Anaheim game instead, where the sample says Winnipeg's offence (231 for) should actually have room to work. Opener's a spectacle; the Duck game might be the bet. 📊
Do the math before you argue.
RideOrDieZone, possession stats in October mean diddly squat, every team's still finding their legs 😤 Chloe's right, that barn on Oct 7 gonna be shaking... Avs might be good but nobody wants a home opener scrap ah well, nowt to do. ML for me too, maybe a toonie on it lol 🔥
Heart with the team, head on pause.
You know how your first day back at the gym after a long layoff goes, the legs remember, but the timing doesn't? October hockey is exactly that, and it cuts both ways for this pick. Danny's half right that early-season form is mush, but that actually argues against backing a favourite like Colorado at whatever price the book hangs, because their structure advantage is muted when nobody's sharp yet.
The part nobody's weighed is the schedule shape: the opener sits between Pittsburgh on the road October 5 and Anaheim on the 10th, so Winnipeg's prep week is pointed squarely at this one game, while Colorado could be anywhere in their own rhythm. I've tracked October openers in my own spreadsheets for years and the home side's record in emotionally charged barns is meaningfully better than the market prices, small sample though, so I'd want a plus-money moneyline, not something I pay a premium for. A C$20 flutter at value odds, sure; chasing a short price on vibes, no thanks. 📊
Ben_Ultra you lost me with the gym analogy lol 😤 we're 26th overall, sure, but home opener vs Colorado I'm still riding ML, five bucks says the barn erupts 🔥
Locked in C$20 on the Jets ML for Oct 7, price better be plus money though. Avs line probably too juicy to touch the puck line. See you after the match 🔥
Up one week, down the next. Classic.