Jets host Boston on October 3

Jack's onto something with the goal difference, though I'd dig a bit deeper before hammering the Boston moneyline. That minus-29 for Winnipeg over 82 games is ugly on paper, but it usually means the Jets lost a pile of games by one or two - the kind of side that stays competitive at home and drags you into a coin flip. Depends how you count it: if those 35 losses were mostly tight ones, a single-game upset at MTS Centre is far more live than "26th vs 8th" implies. Boston's profile is the more trustworthy one, mind you. Plus-22 with 272 scored means they generate and defend at an above-average clip, and 45 wins against 27 losses over a full sample is a real signal, small sample though this date is. My read: Boston's the rightful favourite, but if the bookie prices them like a top-four powerhouse, there's value poking at the puck line on Winnipeg at home instead of chasing the ML. I'd want to see the Jets' opening-night roster before putting real money down either way.

gary makes a fair point about the one-goal games. back in the day i watched the jets spoil boston's night more than once at the old barn. Bruins come into winnipeg expecting an easy two points and the crowd gets loud and suddenly it's a street fight. that building has always been worth a goal or two to the home side, ask anybody who's sat in the stands for a boston visit. so yeah, 18 points apart and that minus-29 is ugly, i won't argue with jack there. but rivalry games and cold openers in october have a way of flattening gaps. i've seen it all before. The favourite coasts, the underdog throws everything at the net, next thing you're sweating a one-goal game you thought was free money. i'd rather look at the puck line than hammer a moneyline that the bookies will price short anyway. small play for me, if any 😉

Nah, minus-29 or not, we show up big at home against the big dogs 🔥 Boston's been leaking chances late in games and our boys can smell blood when the crowd gets going. Stats don't tell you how loud that barn gets in the third, ah well, nowt to do but put a lil on the jets moneyline and believe 💪🍁

Agree the gap's real, I checked goalies first thing every pick night, and that minus-29 screams fade the Jets 💸. C$50 on Boston ML at bookmaker, maybe a sprinkle on the puck line if the number drifts.

Retro checking goalies before touching anything, same habit here, and it's saved me more nights than I can count. My one slip last season was loading up on a home dog off crowd energy alone and ignoring the netminder swap announced that afternoon; did not land 💸. This one I'd wait on Boston's starter too, then maybe a small puck line instead of paying full juice on the ML.

Harry that goalie slip story hits hard, been burned same way 😱 I'll throw a lil C$ on the Jets ML but only if ours starts in net, backing them all day 🔥💪

Gary's got it right, I won't touch the Jets ML until the starting goalies are confirmed that morning, that minus-29 over a full 82 makes me lean Boston side anyway 💸 Retro's C$50 on the Bruins ML would've landed most nights given that gap, and I'll probably do the same with a small puck line look if the number sits around where I expect. Opener of the season at home against an 8th-place side, barn should be rocking regardless 🔥

Made my own table for this one. The minus-29 says fade Winnipeg, but opening night in October is a noisy sample, so I'm keeping stakes small until goalies drop.