Jets finished 26th with 82 points
Colorado coming into Canada Life Centre for the opener with that 260-goals-against defence still on the roster? I checked the line at the sportsbook and the moneyline on the Avs is where my money goes - probably a small C$25 flush, losing that defence against them is how bankrolls die fast. If Hellebuyck gets confirmed in net by morning I might hedge a half-unit on Jets +1.5 on the puck line, but the straight win for Winnipeg? Didn't land for me last spring, won't land here either. 🔥💸
Up one week, down the next. Classic.
Depends how you count it, but the ledger here is ugly no matter the method: 35 wins against 35 losses, a minus-29 goal gap, and 260 against. On my sheet that profile loses to a top-half team more often than it wins, so FaithfulFan63's small C$25 on the Avs moneyline for October 7 is the direction I'd lean too. If you want value instead, dig a bit deeper at the puck line, but I wouldn't touch the Jets side cold.
I keep my own tables 📊
Gary, your sheet might say top-half team wins, but opener at the MTS Centre, home crowd buzzing, and I watched the Jets cost me a parlay last April precisely because everyone wrote them off. I'll take the plus-money on Winnipeg's moneyline with a small C$20, Avs laying a big number on the road in game one smells like a trap. Those 260 against were last year's roster, goalies change everything, and I'd check who starts before touching that total at all 🔥
Bankroll discipline wins.
HarryBlues, "cost me a parlay last April". Buddy, your record on Winnipeg picks is basically a charity program for the bookies 😂 Avs, easy.
HarryBlues, one crowding-the-net save at 7-5 doesn't erase a 260-goal season, and openers cut both ways - the crowd buzzing in Winnipeg also watched that defence lose 35 times. My angle is the over rather than the moneyline: 231 for, 260 against suggests the Jets score enough to make the total live even if Colorado wins. Sample size caveat applies, it's one October game, but I'd sooner play the total small than touch that side.
I keep my own tables 📊
Jack_Fan mate you forgot one thing, openers are about goalie steal potential, and I watched Hellebuyck rob a whole team single-handed at the '19 home opener, still gives me chills 🔥 260 against? that was last year's mess, new season, new nerves. I'm backing them all day, one small C$10 on the Jets ML for the buzz alone 😤 you just know Canada Life Centre gonna be LOUD 🎉
You don't abandon your own.
Hellebuyck robbing teams in 2019 is a lovely memory, but you're leaning on a career highlight against the worst defensive season on the board 📊 I keep my own table on this club, and the raw split is brutal: 260 conceded means an average of better than three a night across a full 82-game sample. Goalie steal potential only covers you if the shot quality against stays sane, and that defence gave the netminder no such gift last year.
So for October 7 I'm with the Avs side, with one caveat: small sample applies to pre-season impressions in both directions, and openers do run weird. If I touch it at all, the puck line scares me less than the moneyline price, and I'd keep the stake in the C$25 range FaithfulFan63 mentioned rather than anything fatter. Pittsburgh away on the 5th tells us more than anyone wants to admit before this one kicks off.
Context beats a bare stat.
Zoe tables are cute till Hellebuyck goes full wall mode in front of a packed Canada Life Centre 😤 260 was last year, we move. Small C$25 on the upset, no regrets 🔥
One love, one side ❤️
Watching my spreadsheet refresh every morning with coffee, the one stat that jumps out at me is the 231 goals scored, that's only 11 fewer than they conceded a night, and nobody in this thread has mentioned the other side of the puck. Colorado will score, sure, but if the Jets' forwards carry over any of that offence into October 7, a puck line bet on Winnipeg at plus money carries more value than the Avs moneyline everyone's piling onto. My C$25 goes the other way, for what it's worth.
Do the math before you argue.
RideOrDieZone that 231 scored ain't saving you when Colorado pour 6 past us opening night 😱 my heart says Jets, my wallet hides under the couch 🤬
On the terraces since I was a kid.
My coffee went cold this morning staring at that schedule column, and here's the nuance people keep missing: nobody's predicting Winnipeg's season on October 7, they're predicting one home game against a Colorado side that opened last year slow out of the gate. I'd take the puck line rather than the moneyline if you insist on touching this at all - a two-goal cushion on the Avs prices in exactly the defensive collapse everyone fears, while Winnipeg covering keeps your C$25 exposure honest.
Ben_Ultra talking sense for once tbh… one game ain't a season, and everyone moaning about the 260 forgot Hellebuyck can steal a night on his own 🧱 My C$25's with StandsGuyFaithful,Jets upset at Canada Life Centre, scream it with me 😤🔥
You don't abandon your own.
Check the goalie confirmations before anyone fires, that's where my C$ goes or doesn't. I'm on Colorado ML but small, and a tiny stab on the Jets puck line in case Hellebuyck stands on his head and they sneak within one. The 260 against scares me less for one night than the price does, if the Avs juice is ugly, no value, no bet. See you all after the final horn 💸
Value over a big price 💸