Oilers at Rogers Place on October 16 vs Utah Mammoth, who takes it?
Took the moneyline on Edmonton the second lines opened at the sportsbook, threw a bit of puck line on top too. That road trip through Anaheim, San Jose and LA before the Utah game could leave the Mammoth flat coming into Rogers Place, and 282 goals scored last season says the Oilers can outscore anyone at home when the defence shows up. C$50 says they open with a win, lesson from last year learned: don't fade them at home early. 🔥💸
Retro, careful with that early moneyline, the trip is the other way around, Anaheim–San Jose–LA all come BEFORE the Utah game, so Edmonton is the team showing up tired at Rogers Place on the 16th. And one caveat: 93 points from a 14th-place finish with a 282-269 goal record says narrow games, not blowouts. I'd keep the stake small or wait for the LA result before touching the puck line. 📊
I keep my own tables 📊
Jack's got it backwards, fatigue cuts both ways, Oilers get three road games to find their legs before hosting Utah. C$50 on the moneyline at Rogers Place, lesson from last October when I faded a tired home team and paid for it 😭
Bankroll discipline wins.
HarryBlues talking about lessons from last October 🤡 you faded tired teams AND fresh ones, both tanked. C$50 says your record stays ugly 😏
Funny thing about the 282 goals, check the other column before you hang your bet on it. 269 against is what jumps out at me from my spreadsheet: a club running close to a zero goal differential finished 14th with 93 points, which screams "won the close ones last spring, regression candidate." 📊
That said, I'm still leaning Edmonton on the 16th, and my reasoning is scheduling shape, not tiredness either way. Three road games in eight days (Anaheim, San Jose, LA) is a normal early-season rhythm, and the true trap game is Utah's, they're sitting idle while Edmonton stays in game mode. My caution goes to the price: if the moneyline at bookmaker is already short because everyone read that 282, the value sits on the puck line instead. Small stake for me, C$25, because honestly the sample here is one unplayed game and a schedule, and I don't bet more than that justifies.
Ben, near-zero differential screams regression? Sure, tell that to every team that rode tight games all spring 😅 93 points out of a squad that finished 14th, and you're acting like the spreadsheet just exposed them. nah man, close games go both ways.
Retro and Harry are right that three road dates before the 16th can sharpen these guys — Anaheim, San Jose, LA isn't exactly a murder row. I'm backing them all day at Rogers Place 🔥 Drop C$50 on the moneyline myself, maybe a little puck line if the price looks decent. get in! 🙌💪
Ben, one season of tight-game results is a thin sample to hang a regression call on 📊 I've seen clubs run +0 goal differential two straight years. Context matters.
Context beats a bare stat.
Moneyline Edmonton and a half unit on the puck line, that's my card locked. Road swing through Anaheim, San Jose and LA first means whoever shows up Oct 16 at Rogers Place has been tested, and I'll take the fresher side of that. Got burnt last year chasing "tired team" angles so keeping stakes small this time 💸 See you after the match, eh.
The line moves — catch it.