Oilers finished 14th with 93 points
Put me down for the Oilers in all five, and I'll tell you why I'm comfortable saying that. Utah at Rogers Place on the 16th is the one I'd actually put money on - home game after a road swing, crowd loud, and the price should still be decent because people remember that 93-point, 14th-place finish and fade them. Goals 282-269 tells me they can outscore most teams when it clicks, so I'm leaning moneyline over puck line there; the -1.5 worries me against a fresh Utah side.
The road trip is where the bankroll takes its lumps. Anaheim and San Jose I'd play moneyline small, LA on the 14th I might skip or take the puck line only if the number is generous. Seattle at home Oct 3 to open, I'd load up on that one. Two seasons ago I chased a season opener with my gut instead of checking the confirmed starter, lost C$150 and learned my lesson - goalie names go up before I touch anything now. If the line moves toward Edmonton by the 15th, that Utah price is gone, so get in early. 💸
Bankroll discipline wins.
Fatigue cuts both ways, Jack, Utah also travels in, and Rogers Place openers used to be where I cashed moneyline slips all last spring. I'll take Edmonton in four of five, only fading Anaheim on the road swing since that's my classic trap spot, and on the 16th I'd rather pay for the puck line than the juice on the moneyline. Lesson from yesterday's loss: I skipped checking the goalie confirmation and paid for it, so whatever you back here, wait for the starter. 💸
Ben picking five straight wins from a team that went 14th? Bro you tanked every slip last spring, why should October be different 😂_waiting for the fanboys to pile in
Five straight from a squad that gave up 269 last year, that's a C$ donation with extra steps 😂 Utah on the 16th is the only slip I'd even glance at.
Show me your ROI first 😏
ha, i drove long-haul through california every october, anaheim on a road swing always chewed me up too. fading that one, but i'd still take edmonton vs utah at rogers place 😉
Remember when the grass was greener 🌱
Trust the guy who "cashed moneyline slips all last spring" to forget the part where a 93-point team gets a 282-269 goal diff - that defence wasn't surviving five straight, Retro 😏 I've seen enough October games at Rogers Place where the crowd's loud and the team's still down two after twenty. Only slip I'd even think about touching is Utah on the 16th, and even that's a lottery ticket, not a pick. Wait for the fanboys to tell us the table lies 🤡
I'll take Utah on the 16th, small stake, seen too many Octobers here where the barn's loud and the team's flat. Back in the day we called that a classic letdown spot 😉
Been here longer than some have followed.
Utah on the 16th it is, then half this thread agrees 😏 Road swing through California before that? Anaheim on the 8th scares me more, honestly. Remind me of your ROI, Ben? 🤡💸
Show me your ROI first 😏
siding with data guy on utah, small stake only. watched oilers flatten good teams in october openers for decades then sleepwalk the next night, eh, anaheim on the 8th is my fade too.
Ha, three Utah picks in a row now, love a thread piling on before the puck even drops 😂 I'll take the Oilers on the 16th myself; that California swing before it usually means whoever comes home is jet-lagged, and the crowd at Rogers Place on a Thursday ain't quiet. Fading Anaheim on the 8th though, that one smells like a trap 🤡
glory days has it right about the california swing, that part i'll co-sign. been an oilers fan since the coliseum days and october road trips out west always felt like a coin toss, san jose on the 10th is the only one of those three i'd touch with real money, anaheim early season is a trap every year.
on the 16th though, i'm with the utah crowd, small stake only. watched as long as i have and you'll get it, team comes home from a swing riding high, barn's electric, everyone's got their october optimism and a double-double in hand, and then they play like it's a tuesday practice. 14th in the league with 93 points tells me they're good enough to beat anyone and sloppy enough to lose to anyone. so: seattle, san jose, utah at home for me; anaheim and LA are passes. old school rule - never bet the letdown game 😄
Seen it all, lads.
Funny how everyone suddenly fears the California swing like it's Everest when the Sharks on the 10th are the one road game I'd actually put C$ on. It's a lottery, not sport, picking all five straight like Ben did. Laughable really 😂 My lean: Oilers over Utah on the 16th, small stake, and Seattle on the 3rd because Rogers Place openers have never been my problem. Anaheim's my fade too, but then again I said that last October and got burned 🤡
It's a lottery, not sport.
emma's got a point about san jose, but watch as long as I have and you'll learn early-season sharks games look like draw poker. You never know which hand shows up 😄 i'd lean oilers on the 10th too, small C$ only. utah on the 16th? back in the day a home opener stretch like that was a banker, now i just shrug and take the home side with a caveat. good things come to those who wait, folks.
Remember when the grass was greener 🌱
Loaded up on the Oilers moneyline vs Utah on the 16th, small play on San Jose the 10th. Rest I'm watching. See you after the match 💸
Value over a big price 💸