Flames to stun the Avalanche at the Saddledome on October 9?

Twenty-nine in the league table with a goal differential of 212-259, and people are already booking the upset. There's a nuance here: a 39-loss club doesn't get a fat moneyline by accident, and the price on the outright reflects a 34-win season, not some market mistake. That said, I'd rather take the puck line than chase the win outright, same as RetroSinceDayOne. Colorado on October 9 is the toughest of the three, and the Anaheim pair on the 11th and 14th looks like the softer spot in the stretch, if any part of this run pays, that's where the sample says it comes from. Caveat: one home game in early October tells you very little either way, so keep the stake small and the expectations smaller. 📊

BenBeliever2014 my guy, weren't you the one who called the season opener "a lock" last fall? how'd that C$ flyer work out for ya 😂 I'd check the record before handing out betting lessons, some of us actually keep receipts. That said, I get the itch. Wolf steals a game now and then, and Colorado treating a road opener like a scrimmage is about the only path here. But Jack_Fan's got a point with 212-259 hanging over this whole thread. Puck line or nothing for me, tiny C$ stake, mostly for the entertainment at the Dome 🤡 And in reality? Most of you will be bragging about the puck line anyway when it hits by a goal.💸

Receipts guy talking about receipts, love it 😂 Honestly the part nobody's pricing in is that Anaheim visit twice in three days right after Colorado. That's the stretch worth a C$ flyer on Calgary, not just the opener. Wolf stealing one at the Dome against a road team starting a long trip? sure thing, mate. laughable really how fast everyone forgets last season's 39 losses 🤡💸

millie's got the right angle. That anaheim double is where i'd throw a small c$ flyer, seen worse squads cash in openers. rookie goalies steal games, it happens 😉

Everyone worshipping the Anaheim double is missing the real spot, Avs first road game after a ring ceremony, that's where bad teams cash 😏 I'd take a flyer there over the Ducks lottery.

Millie's got the right of it, and glorydays too - that Avs opener after the ring ceremony smells like a trap game for them. I've sat in the Dome for enough openers to know the crowd can carry a young goalie one night. Only caveat: I'd keep the flyer to pocket change, C$20 tops, because this club gave up 259 goals last year and hope isn't a system 😄

Funny how everyone suddenly remembers the Dome crowd exists when they need it for their narrative 😂 I was at a few games last season and honestly the building went quiet by the second period more often than not, 29th place does that to a room. But the schedule angle is legit: Colorado on the 9th right after their ring night, then Anaheim twice in three days (11th at home, 14th on the road) before Vegas. That's four games where someone's gotta be flat, eh. My play's simple: small C$ flyer on the Ducks games, that's where the price will actually pay. The Avs game the book will price sharp because everyone and their dog is hammering the story. Wait for the fanboys to pile in on the opener and watch that line dry up 💸

Millie's got a point about that building going quiet, saw plenty of nights like that back when I was holding season seats through the last rebuild. But an opener's a different animal. Crowd's fed and loud no matter the record. I'd only touch the Avs game with a small C$ flyer on the puck line, cause October 9 to the 14th against Anaheim twice is a long stretch for a young roster 😄

Went to a few games at the Saddledome last year, building's dead quiet by the second period, Millie's not wrong 😂 Openers are a different beast though. Bank the Ducks double instead, sure thing, mate 💸

Rob's right that an opener hits different, I've had seats through a couple of these rebuilds and the building wakes up for that first puck drop no matter what the standings say. That said, I'd temper the "stun" talk. One loud night beats nobody over a 60-game sample, and the Avs roster usually handles ceremony nights just fine. Emma's Ducks angle is the smarter play if you ask me, that's where the value usually hides 😉

Emma cashing the Ducks double instead is the first smart word in this whole thread 😂 everybody hyping the opener when the same calendar hands you two Ducks games in three days right after, that's where the value's hiding, not kissing the Avs moneyline and hoping MacKinnon takes the night off. Stick a toonie on it and thank me later 😏

DaveArmy, welcome to the grey-beard club, eh. I did my time in the cheap seats through worse Flames teams than this one 😄 i'll say this though: openers really do fog the memory. you forget you watched a 29th-place squad get outscored all winter, and the price on October 9 reflects that. Ducks games on the 11th and 14th look softer to me too, but "sure thing" in October? emma, nothing's a sure thing before christmas, i've got the scar tissue to prove it.

Small stake on the Flames moneyline October 9, real money only on the Ducks games Oct 11 and 14, that's where the payout actually lives. Getting burned on a home dog against MacKinnon's crew once cured me of "stun" bets years back 😭 See you after the match.