Everyone's burying the Canucks at 32nd
Dead last at 58 points and still I'll bite - small moneyline on the Canucks in New Jersey Oct 10, maybe quarter of a unit at the book, because the Devils' opener against a desperate road side is exactly where lines get fat. I'm not touching the total until I see confirmed starters in net, learned that lesson the hard way last season when I burned C$80 on a game with a backup between the pipes. If the puck line stays around +1.5 at short odds, that's honestly the safer play for my bankroll, eh.
Quarter of a unit is the right sizing, Retro, I've got 216 goals scored against 316 allowed over 82 games, and a -100 differential over the season says you're fading a side that gets outshot night after night. My lean is Devils in regulation, with a small caveat about sample size: opening-night rosters rarely resemble last season's table, so October 10 tells us more about the new Canucks than the 58-point one does. I'd sooner take the moneyline than the puck line here, honestly.
I keep my own tables 📊
Quarter of a unit is the right sizing, Retro, I've got 216 goals scored against 316 allowed over 82 games, and a -100 differential over the season says you're fading a side that gets outshot night after night. My lean is…
Jack, -100 over a season means nothing on opening night, I'm taking the Devils moneyline Oct 10 instead. Burying a squad at 32nd is how books pad the price. 😭💸
Value over a big price 💸
HarryBackcheck150 talking about "books padding the price" is rich, didn't you fade a desperate road side last spring and donate like half your bankroll? 😂 A quarter unit on Vancouver at 32nd place is a charity donation, a Devils moneyline is just the same coin flip with extra confidence, put your C$ where your mouth is and we'll see who's laughing October 10 🤡💸
Retro putting a quarter unit on a team that got outscored by 100 goals over 82 games 😂 that's a lottery ticket, not a bet. Devils ML with you all day 🤡💸
Back in my day we buried teams like this in September and they still ruined a few weekends come October 😄. Retro's quarter unit is the sensible play. Desperate road side on opening night is exactly when the wheels fall off for the favourite, and I've watched enough New Jersey home openers go sideways to know. My caveat: don't touch the puck line with that goal differential, a one-goal Canucks loss still cashes nothing for you. Just a dart or nothing, that's my rule for the dead-last clubs.
kev's got it right — i've watched hockey since the old copps coliseum days and every september somebody crowns the funeral too early 😄 a quarter unit on the devils game is about all i'd risk too, but emma's got a fair point: by the time they roll into new jersey on the 10th they'll have carolina in their legs the night before... wait, the 8th, two nights rest actually. still, that -100 goal diff scares me more than any line. small play or pass for me.
Seen it all, lads.
Retro's quarter unit is the only sane currency in this thread 😂 but Emma's got a point nobody's pricing in, they land in Carolina on the 8th before Jersey on the 10th, so you're betting on a club that just ate a Hurricanes game two nights earlier. A -100 goal diff travels like a hangover, mate. Enjoy the C$ bonfire 🤡💸
Show me your ROI first 😏
I drove a truck from Edmonton to Vancouver more times than I can count, and let me tell ya, a two-day gap between cities is nothing, these kids fly charter and sleep in real beds, not cab bunks like I did back in my day 😄 so the Carolina hangover argument is thinner than it looks. I'll back Retro's quarter unit, small sprinkle on the moneyline, but my caveat is simple: after Jersey comes the Rangers on the 11th, and any coach with sense will blink at that stretch. eh, one road win in October never fixed a 216-goal offence though, keep it to loonies you can lose 😉
Remember when the grass was greener 🌱
Carolarna on the 8th then Jersey on the 10th and you lot are STILL pricing the Canucks like they matter 😂 remind me of your ROI before I tail anyone, mate 🤡💸
Show me your ROI first 😏
ValueHunter nailed the travel thing - back when I was hauling my kids to minor hockey tournaments across the prairies in a minivan, two days between games felt like a vacation 😄 These Canucks charter out of Carolina and land in Jersey with fresher legs than the 58 points suggest.
I'm with Retro on the quarter unit, small as it sounds. I've had season tickets through enough rebuilds here to know October desks are drawn way too early, but my caveat is the Devils' opener energy at home in New Jersey on the 10th. A last-place club walking into a hype crowd is how a fat line turns into a reality check. That's why I'd sooner look at the puck line getting a goal and a half than the moneyline. Seen it all before: hope pays worse than patience, old school as that sounds. 😉
Seen it all, lads.
Checking the goalie card before I touch anything, but yeah, half unit moneyline, tiny puck line sprinkle. See you after the match 😭💸
Value over a big price 💸