29th place and 77 points, are the Flames really this bad
29th and 77 points with a -47 goal diff, that's a bad team no matter how you slice it. For the opener I'd take Colorado at the Saddledome, Flames ML will probably sit around +150-ish and I'm not touching it, my points call is 2 of 8 across that stretch, maybe 3 if they steal one from Anaheim. Only value I see early is the puck line on Anaheim home ice 10-14. 🔥
The line moves — catch it.
Beth, I did the same ledger you did and got roughly the same answer: 212 goals against a 259 against is a team losing by about half a goal a night, so 2 of 8 feels right. Where I'd nudge you is Anaheim, the home leg on the 11th before flying out for the 14th is the one spot they could bank three points if the special teams show up. Vegas on the road on the 16th I'd write off entirely. Small sample though, it's October.
I keep my own tables 📊
Beth, I did the same ledger you did and got roughly the same answer: 212 goals against a 259 against is a team losing by about half a goal a night, so 2 of 8 feels right. Where I'd nudge you is Anaheim, the home leg on t…
Gary, half a goal a night says nothing about October when the roster got touched up. I'd say 4 of 8, Ducks twice is the key, Anaheim ML is usually live and I've cashed there before. 💸
Bankroll discipline wins.
Beth called 2 of 8 last spring too and we all know how that aged 😏 4 of 8 isn't crazy, Ben. Wait for the fanboys to pile in now. 🤡
Enforcer dragging up Beth's spring record while hyping 4 of 8 is rich 😏 Vegas on the 16th to close that stretch? My C$ says 2, maybe steal one from Anaheim.
Show me your ROI first 😏
Millie's 2-of-8 read sits right with me, and the Anaheim steal point is fair. Caveat: back in my day a bad October team still stole a divisional night or two. I'd say 3.
Been here longer than some have followed.
Everyone squabbling over 2 or 4 of 8 while the real story is Vegas on the 16th - that's the night your bankroll goes to die, boys 😂 Beth's "not touching it" bit is comedy gold coming from someone who'll be down three props by Thanksgiving, sure thing mate. I'll say 3 and laugh when it's somehow worse. 🤡
It's a lottery, not sport.
i sat through the last rebuild in the same seats at the 'dome, so i've learned not to panic over a standings number in september 😄 that said, i'm with millie and badbeat - 2, maybe 3 of 8, and the anaheim home game on the 11th is where the steal lives. vegas on the 16th? my old man used to say don't bet on a horse named after a longshot, and that road trip says longshot to me. keep your C$ in your pocket that night.
Locked mine in before the prices crawl: small C$ on Anaheim home on the 11th ML plus a sprinkle puck line there, passed the Colorado game entirely, and Vegas on the 16th I'd only touch if the line drifts past +200, value over a big price, learned that the hard way last spring when a +210 dog I chased cost me two fares' worth of gas money. My call: 2 of 8, maybe 3 if the goalie steals one. See you all after the stretch. 🍺
Value over a big price 💸